According to media reports, during the 15th China International Machine Tool Exhibition (CIMT2017), which was opened on April 17th, the reporter visited a number of domestic and foreign machine tool exhibitors. They generally reflected that they really felt the temperature of the market warming up, especially for the Manufacturers who provide processing solutions for the automotive market, new orders are more impressive.
In the context of the government's supply-side structural reforms and the growth of real estate, automobile and other industries, the machine tool industry is "returning to life."
According to media reports, during the 15th China International Machine Tool Exhibition (CIMT2017), which was opened on April 17th, the reporter visited a number of domestic and foreign machine tool exhibitors. They generally reflected that they really felt the temperature of the market warming up, especially for the Manufacturers who provide processing solutions for the automotive market, new orders are more impressive. Through feedback from exhibitors, the machine tool industry has experienced a long-term “winter” in recent years and it seems to usher in an opportunity for development. This is undoubtedly a good sign for the entire machine tool market.
In recent years, the development of China's machine tool industry has always been difficult in the middle of confusion, and orders for negative growth for several months in a row are also commonplace. According to the reporter’s understanding, in 2016, some domestic machine tool companies were not among the few because they could not stand the “cold winter” failure. In this regard, many people in the industry seem to have lost hope for the development of China's machine tool industry.
During the sluggish machine tool industry, at the end of 2016, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the “13th Five-Year Plan” and “Intelligent Manufacturing Development Plan 2016-2020” to promote the implementation of a “two-step” strategy for smart manufacturing: the first step, by 2020, The foundation and supporting capacity of smart manufacturing have been significantly enhanced. Digital manufacturing has been basically realized in the key areas of traditional manufacturing. Significant progress has been made in the intelligent transformation of key industries with conditions and foundations. Second, by 2025, the support system for smart manufacturing is basically established. The industry initially achieved an intelligent transformation.
The industry plan also injects a "strength agent" into the sluggish machine tool industry.
In fact, another reason for the recovery of the machine tool industry has benefited from the growth of real estate and automobiles. According to data released by related departments, from the first two months of 2017, China’s investment in real estate development increased by 8.0% year-on-year, and the performance of the auto market in January and February was also good. In the first two months of 2017, the production and sales of automobiles steadily increased. The production of 2,159,600 units was an increase of 33.77% year-on-year.
Increased orders
In an interview with reporters, Zeng Haiwei, director of the South China Institute of Wisdom Innovation, said that the warming of the machine tool market is due to the adjustment and upgrading of the industrial structure. At present, the Chinese government is embarking on a structural reform on the supply side. The machine tool industry, in order to meet market demand, starts from the supply side and provides product technologies and services that meet new scientific demands. For example, automated packaging, customization and shift upgrades have become the main direction of the market.
While the entire machine tool industry is picking up, companies have also frequently received orders from home and abroad. According to reports, the i5 intelligent machine tool independently developed by the Shenyang Machine Tool Group started demonstration applications in the automotive transmission shaft and other industries. Today, it has signed 18,000 orders and shipped 8,400 units. Dalian Machine Tool Group is not to be outdone. The first domestic unmanned intelligent manufacturing plant in the 3C industry that was built in Dongguan City was basically completed. The smart production lines that use domestic machines are waiting for the arrival of the first batch of products.
According to the reporter’s understanding, Hubei Lidi Machine Tool Co., Ltd. has completed orders for 160 million yuan in the first quarter of this year, and its products are mainly sold to the United States, Southeast Asia and other countries. Guangzhou Jiasui Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. has shipped shipments on average once a month, and its shipments have reached dozens of times.
According to Wang Jiankun, Macroeconomic Research Institute of Youpin Financial Research Institute, orders for machine tool companies gradually recovered, which actually began in the fourth quarter of 2016. The current development of the industry has shown a trend toward stabilization.
According to the data provided by the China National Machine Tool and Tool Industry Association Information Statistics Department, the total consumption of machine tools in China in 2016 was approximately US$27.5 billion, which was flat year-on-year. Among them, metal cutting machine tool consumption is about 16.4 billion US dollars, down to 4.1%. The consumption of metal forming machine tools was approximately US$ 11.1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%.
It is easy to see that from the above data, it can be seen that the machine tool industry has shown signs of recovery since 2016. Wang Jiankun said in an interview with reporters that at the economic cycle level, China has an inventory economic cycle of 3-5 years, and there is also a Kangbo cycle that spans the entire reform and opening up. The warming of the machine tool industry falls under the influence of China's inventory cycle and Kangbo cycle. The supply side reforms are superimposed together.
So, for the next period of time, can the entire industry recover? Wang Jiankun believes that the supply-side reforms match the Kangbo cycle only for high-end products. In other words, for a long time in the future, the high-end machine tool market will continue to flourish, and the recovery of low-end machine tools may only be a “flash in the pan”. The warming up has given the whole machine tool industry a sigh of relief, but people in the industry understand that it is not a day's work if the machine tool wants to achieve “magnificent turn”.
High-end machine tool storage machine
So, what is the status of the development of China's high-end machine tool industry? In an interview with reporters, Zeng Haiwei, Dean of the South China Wisdom Innovation Research Institute, said that China's machine tool industry started relatively late and is still in the development stage. The high-end machine tool market is occupied by Europe, the United States, Japan and South Korea, which is huge for domestic machine tool companies. Business opportunities.
The reporter learned from the interview that the intelligent machine tool i5 of Shenyang Group has occupied half of the group and the production of CNC machine tools in its production workshop is also rising.
Not long ago, high-end CNC machine tools produced by China have been used in the precision machining of missile engines and thermoforming materials. The head of the aerospace industry said that the key indicators such as the accuracy of the current domestic high-end numerical control processing equipment have gradually reached the international advanced level, while maintaining a huge advantage in the equipment cost of 30% -50%.
It is not difficult to see that the domestic high-end numerical control system has been applied in the aerospace field, which also means that China's high-end machine tool manufacturing has achieved localization.
It is worth mentioning that as China's economic growth continues to slow down and structural adjustments continue to deepen, China's machine tool market has also undergone significant changes, its total demand has decreased significantly, and the demand structure has accelerated the upgrading of market characteristics. In fact, it is increasingly evident.
“The upgrade of the machine tool market structure shows the rapid growth in demand for automation packages.” Wang Jiankun said, “On the one hand, there is a significant increase in the demand for niche, personalization, and customization. The demand for shifting upgrades in performance and reliability of general-purpose products is increased. On the other hand, the technological development trend of numerically-controlled machine tools is based on high-efficiency, precision, and compound, and puts forward higher requirements for intelligence and green.
Zeng Haiwei told reporters that the market for high-end numerically-controlled machine tools will gradually become the “Sweet potato” of Chinese manufacturing companies. With the rise of China's manufacturing industry, the demand for machine tools has been boosted, which has promoted the technological progress of domestic machine tools. Personalization, digitization, and intelligentization of high-end machine tools are the development trend.
Analysis of the industry, this means that the opportunity for high-speed development of high-end machine tools has come.
